Breshad Perriman’s Value is at a Tipping Point

Last year I remember watching with mild disgust as Kelvin Benjamin’s ADP went from WR49 or so before training camps, to WR32 by about September 1. I was regularly taking him in the sixth round of drafts by the end of draft season just to make sure I didn’t miss out on him, but I would have loved to be able to wait until the eighth or ninth rounds. He provided a decent return even though it could have been better with just a few bounces of the ball going in his direction. While Breshad Perriman has the potential to be 2015’s Kelvin Benjamin, there are already emerging signs that things could be different for Perriman. To start with it’s June 25 and he’s already WR36 in ADP. Benjamin’s ADP largely stayed in the WR40s until positive training camp buzz emerged. But the other thing is that while Perriman has a great chance to compete in Baltimore, he also isn’t the starter yet either. Reports out of minicamp have said that Perriman will be given every chance to start, but also that Marlon Brown, Kamar Aiken, and maybe even others could compete for that job. When you add in the fact that Perriman has already had some drop issues in minicamps, the picture is certainly muddied.

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By RotoViz Staff | @rotoviz | Archive

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  1. Initial reports out of OTAs were that he wasn't dropping anything. I think that's very much just a selective observational issue. Fully agree with the article.

  2. Even if you have a 10% drop rate there are going to be long stretches where you don't drop anything just due to natural variance. There's now a pretty widely reported item that he had 4 drops in one day, which would also be expected from natural variance.

    But the bigger issue is what the perception of the coaches is as it relates to his drops. Do they think he's dropping a lot of balls? I don't really know.

  3. It's fortunate Perriman is still having the drops issue. Otherwise he'd be closing in on 1.03 in rookie drafts and a completely unpalatable redraft ADP.

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