Advice

Dwayne Bowe is a WR Value You Shouldn’t Pass Up

dwaynebowe

Every year we see players tossed aside in fantasy drafts. Whether it’s due to age, inefficient offenses, or just all around sour taste, we ignore someone who has solid fantasy potential. Dwayne Bowe is currently one of those players. The Browns ineptitude as a franchise, along with Bowe’s poor recent production, seem to be destroying his draft position. In actuality, Bowe is a wide receiver value that you can’t pass up.

Bowe’s Career

Bowe has had a very successful career playing for the Kansas City Chiefs. Let’s take a look at his numbers using the NFL Career Graphs:

DBCG

As you can see, Bowe has been remarkably consistent. He has never been on less than a 100 target pace over a full season, and was rather effective last year despite the Chiefs’ inability to get a receiver into the endzone. It does not seem as though he has lost much from the earlier stages of his career outside of volume. His efficiency last year was the best it has been since 2011, so I don’t think rapid decline is necessarily something we need to worry about with Bowe. In other words, he is still a very capable NFL WR.

Bowe’s Competition

Bowe should really have no trouble being the number one receiver for his new team, the Cleveland Browns. Take a look at his competition:

Browns WR

Bowe clearly has the most experience of anyone else as a featured receiver. Brian Hartline received some time as the top target in Miami, but was quickly phased out last season after scoring just five total touchdowns in two years of that role. Andrew Hawkins was Cleveland’s top target last season, but was unable to do much with it as a five foot seven inch, 180 pound slot receiver. Taylor Gabriel is inexperienced, undersized, and undrafted, and Travis Benjamin flat out stinks. In fact, Bowe’s best competition may come from fourth round selection Vince Mayle, as he is the only other player to measure up size-wise as a potential top target. I think Bowe’s position as the top target in Cleveland is fairly safe at this point.

Price

As I mentioned before, Bowe is extremely cheap. Here is what his ADP looks like in the Best Ball ADP App:

DBADP

He is trending upward a little bit, but overall his draft position has remained fairly consistent. Right now he is coming in at WR66. Bowe is going after Doug Baldwin, Michael Crabtree, Marvin Jones, Jaelen Strong, and even Jared Abbrederis!? The hate right now has simply gone too far. It is hard for me to visualize a scenario in which a healthy Bowe does not drastically outperform his current ADP.

Conclusion

Dwayne Bowe is a value you simply cannot pass up right now in fantasy drafts. I think the Chiefs’ inability to throw a TD to a WR and the Browns’ propensity to be awful has diminished his ADP to a ridiculously low level. Even the aforementioned Hawkins was able to turn his role with the team into a WR48 season last year. I have to imagine that Bowe can at least meet, if not exceed that,  in 2015, making him a steal at his WR66 price.

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By Anthony Amico | @amicsta | Archive

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