The Andrew Luck Halo Effect

I’ve been looking at passing-game arbitrage opportunities lately, and among other things I found that Joe Flacco’s ADP looks extremely overvalued relative to his receivers’.[1] I listed a few caveats in the analysis, the two most significant being that the relationship between quarterback and receiver ADPs does not account for QB rushing production, or passing production to running backs. Rather than just leave the reader to make those mental adjustments, I decided to incorporate them into my analysis.

Footnotes

Footnotes
1 Wide receivers and tight ends

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The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

rookie rankings

Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…....

The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…....

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