Identifying Undervalued Running Backs with Usage Visualization

I recently wrote a post on Justin Forsett, Matt Forte, and “The Trestman Effect” where I looked at usage (snap percentage) versus PPR points. The correlation league-wide was even stronger than I expected, with the vast majority of running backs scoring within +/- 50 points of the regression line. Usage is particularly important in PPR leagues because flukier types of scoring like touchdowns are de-emphasized, and reception points...

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The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

rookie rankings

Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…....

The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…....

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