Amendment to the Qualitative Guide; Subtitle: Can We Actually Perceive Talent and Opportunity?
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There have been some good comments on my Qualitative Guide post here on the site, as well as on Twitter so I thought I should offer a follow-up. I think the central reaction has perhaps rightly been: these things are difficult to predict and if you had done this in the past it would have been overly certain as to the assessment of which situations are actually good or not. Case in point: Odell Beckham. His situation looked bad after the draft as he was behind an entrenched star WR as well as a promising young player that the team had used a second round pick on recently. Those roadblocks ended up not mattering.