Dynasty

“I Don’t Hate Old Wide Receivers” starring Keyshawn Johnson

I don’t hate old wide receivers. I do, however, have different expectations for them. After what seems like the ten millionth twitter debate I’ve had about wide receiver age, I thought it was necessary to clear up a couple things. 1) Being an older prospect doesn’t mean a receiver can’t have a good NFL career. A major source of confusion related to my age-adjusted work is that people seem to think that “if a player plays his final college season at age 23, Jon Moore automatically thinks he can’t be good in the NFL.” That is a false statement. Similarly, people seem to think that “Jon Moore always prefers younger prospects to older prospects”. That is also a false statement. What I do prefer is when receivers perform above their age expectation. To help explain this, I’m going to use a visual representation, since that paints a clearer picture. For the sake of this exercise, I’m going to call upon a recent twitter conversation with my friend Sigmund Bloom, posited the following criticism: “…age stuff is questionable because Keyshawn Johnson, Marvin Harrison, Joey Galloway and Roddy White were all 24 year old rookies and they’ve had good careers.” I’m really glad he said this because it lends some important insight into how we can add context to the age discussion. Here is a look at the college careers of those four players, plotted against the college careers of NFL receivers who had 150+ point fantasy seasons since 2005. This is the same age curve I use to examine NFL Draft prospects.

Subscribe to the best value in fantasy sports

Subscribing is the only way to make sure you don't ever miss an article.

By Jon Moore | @HelloJonMoore | Archive