The Workhorse Metric: Your Tool For Scouting Fringe RBs
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Last summer, I introduced the non-Quarterback Dominator Rating (nQBDR), which was an attempt to quantify (using market share) the extent to which any given runner dominated the non-QB rushing production on his team. While I’m also a fan of raw production and don’t think that nQBDR is the only way rushing production should be measured, I do believe that nQBDR is extremely useful. This metric pointed to the potential of such late-round and undrafted prospects as Alfred Morris, Ahmad Bradshaw, Darren Sproles, Joique Bell, LeGarrette Blount, Danny Woodhead, and BenJarvus Green-Ellis, all of whom had at least one collegiate season with a nQBDR close to or higher than 90 percent. And last year, I used nQBDR to highlight Bobby Rainey, Lance Dunbar, and Chris Polk as undervalued second-year players and Bilal Powell, Jacquizz Rodgers, and Jordan Todman as undervalued third-year runners. Clearly, not all of these guys had fantastic seasons—but all of them did have moments of utility last season, which is more than almost anyone predicted for them. In general, nQBDR has been a useful tool in helping me find ignored running backs who have the potential to become NFL contributors if given the opportunity to play.