Advice

4 Reasons Jordan Cameron is Overvalued, Part 2: The Gordon Suspension

Last week I added my addition to the RotoViz list of players to avoid at their current ADP: Jordan Cameron, your fourth tight end going off the board at No. 48 overall according to My Fantasy League ADP for drafts since August 1.1 Cameron is a young athletic player coming off a breakout season, so why do I think he’s someone to stay away from as a top 50 pick? Four simple reasons: (1) He has a rookie QB; (2) Josh Gordon’s absence may not provide the production boost people expect; (3) there will be less passing in Cleveland this year;2 and (4) there’s plenty of TE value available later in the draft. To recap part one, TEs don’t see an increase in volume or fantasy scoring when paired with a rookie QB. Just like with running backs, you’re better off targeting guys in stable efficient offenses.3 Now we’re on to part two, where we ask the question—what will Gordon’s suspension mean for Cameron’s 2014 fantasy value?
  1. He’s actually dropped down to 49 overall since I published Part 1 last week, coincidence??? . . . Yes, probably.  (back)
  2. on the Browns at least  (back)
  3. For specific guys you should and should not target make sure to check out Justin Winn’s article on using QB AYA regression to find 2014 RB targets.  (back)

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By Patrick Kerrane | @PatKerrane | Archive

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