Andre Holmes: Fantasy Football Sleeper
You’re not going to believe this, but the Raiders somehow have an offense bereft of proven offensive weapons. Combined, all of the WR’s on the roster not named James Jones have scored 33 touchdowns. While Jones had some nice seasons with Aaron Rodgers, QBs not named Aaron Rodgers have averaged 5.81 Adjusted Yards Per Attempt when throwing to Jones. He’s probably the best WR on the Raiders, but there is another WR that will make the 53 who has a similar upside. Enter Andre Holmes.
|Name||Height (in)||Weight (lbs)||40 Yard||Bench Press||Vert Leap (in)||Broad Jump (in)||Shuttle||3Cone||Agility Score||Final Season DR|
Not surprising that I like Holmes as a sleeper. He passes all of the thresholds you want from a future top 30 WR, including height, weight, speed and agility. His physical comps as generated by Mock Draftable are just as impressive.
Out of all the WR’s on the Raiders roster (outside of James Jones), he is the one guy who passes the Eric Decker Test, devised by Jon Moore to help indicate future WR success. Holmes played at small school Hillsdale (ironically, the same D-II conference that Packers’ phenom Jeff Janis played in) and met all of the thresholds, as hand calculated by Mr. Moore himself.
Remember the Decker Test? #Raiders WR Andre Holmes passes. Final college season: 41.6% MS yards, 42.3% MS TDs, 38.5% RZTD, 9.63 YPT.
— Jon Moore (@TheCFX) December 2, 2013
I’m assuming that Holmes is a better player than Denarious Moore and Rod Streater, but that may not amount to anything in our little world, if the Oakland passing offense remains inept. The Raiders’ offensive coordinator Greg Olson has championed offenses that ranked 14th, 3rd, 9th, 22nd, 23rd, 7th and 25th in passing attempts in the NFL. Last year was his first year in Oakland and I think a pretty simple reason can be drawn for why Oakland was so far down the list on passing attempts: Terrelle Pryor. With such an inexperienced QB at the helm, the Raiders wanted to pass less and given the opportunity, Pryor would scramble.
This is no longer the case in Oakland. As misguided as it may be, the organization brought in Matt Schaub and traded away Pryor which signaled what I believe to be an important shift in Holmes’ value. The signing of James Jones and Schaub, as well as Maurice Jones Drew would seem to indicate that the Raiders want to return to Olson’s pass heavy days in St. Louis, and later, in Tampa Bay. Matt Schaub is not a top 15 NFL starter any longer, but he did make Andre Johnson, Deandre Hopkins, Garrett Graham and Owen Daniels valuable fantasy assets just last year, despite being an interception machine.
As of today, Holmes has a Dynasty ADP of WR103. It really doesn’t get more free than that. If you’re in a deeper league – 25 man rosters or more – Holmes has the potential to be more valuable than the dregs who are currently clogging the bottom of your roster. In redraft leagues, he has an ADP of WR89. He’s going behind guys like Griff Whalen, who is actually a mystical creature and not even a football player. Unless you are in an insanely deep format, and just need someone take with your 22nd pick of your MFL10, you probably don’t need to be concerned about Holmes in redraft yet, but add him to your list of names to monitor throughout training camp and preseason. It seems likely that he could emerge opposite James Jones and be something of a fantasy football value.