Who Will Be 2014’s Keenan Allen?
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Last year Keenan Allen fell into the third round of the draft due to lingering injury concerns, a sub-par 40 time, and a failure to really flash on tape. It didn’t help that his exposure was limited by playing for a poor Pac-12 squad and that NFL decision-makers probably failed to fully account for the value of his youth. Allen ended up landing in San Diego and posting a line of 1,046 yards and 8 touchdowns. Will anyone reprise that role in 2014? The obvious answer is no. In the last twenty years, the only other non-first round picks to post a borderline WR1 season or better were Anquan Boldin, Marques Colston, and Mike Williams.1 So expecting any player from the non-first round basket to produce a WR1 rookie season isn’t realistic, which makes it even less realistic to expect any specific player from that basket to produce such a season. Now that we’ve got the boring caveats out of the way, let’s look at the contenders.