The Phenom Index: A Breakthrough in Wide Receiver Evaluation for the NFL Draft

What if you could tune out all the noise about the NFL Draft and focus on one number that could dramatically improve the accuracy of your evaluation?  Is that something you might be interested in? For more than a year now the RotoViz crew has been obsessing over prospect age.  All things being equal, you’d rather have the 21 year old rookie over the 23 year old, right?  Unfortunately we haven’t been able to streamline this into an easily digestible number. Until now. Ladies and Gentlemen, allow me to introduce you to the Phenom Index.  Over the weekend I experimented with a metric that weighs college production by age and it proved to be significant when solving for Fantasy Points per Game for each of the first four seasons of a wide receivers’ career.  It also works on tight end prospects, but more to come on that later.  So how is this metric created?

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By Jon Moore | @HelloJonMoore | Archive