The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production

DavanteAdams For a while now I have been grappling with the idea of measuring a player’s catch radius. I was specifically looking to solve the  Red Zone TD Rate puzzle, since the metric can be flawed by usage and QB play. I wanted to see how it would correlate to WRs and touchdown production. So as I was contemplating the journey in my head, I decided to set up an experiment to see if there was any way to use a player’s Catch Radius to better predict the success of WRs. Using the Pythagorean Theorem, I devised a way to score a player’s catch radius. At RotoViz, we are always searching for better predictive metrics that will keep you a step ahead of the competition.  While the math may make your head explode, the results may have you chasing that little white rabbit down the catch radius hole.

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By Scott Smith | @ScottSmith610 | Archive