Lorenzo, Storm, Lache and Ka’Deem, Great Names and RB Prospect Arbitrage

HenryJosey There’s no doubt that this upcoming draft has given me receiver fever. My obsession with receivers is beyond control, but everyone eventually reaches their limit. I’ve spent so much time digging into the receivers that I reached a point where I was only seeing the negatives in each prospect, so I finally have to push away from the table. Shifting gears to the running back side, this incoming class of runners has been labeled has having a surplus of lateral level prospects. That may be true, but that doesn’t mean that this class will be devoid of fantasy contributors. I’m taking that feeling of lateral quality a step further, looking at four sets of backs and their lower valued doppelgangers based only on physical profile and final season college production. For the rankings, I’m going to use the general CBS draft prospect list. I list Body Mass Index (BMI) here because it is ultra important in terms of correlation to fantasy running back production. Running back height and weight don’t necessarily correlate the same way that they do at the receiver position. The more a receiver weighs, his height will follow more often than not. Runners come in a hodgepodge of sizes, thus making the marriage of both more relevant. Backs with a BMI that falls between 28-31.9 make up 75 percent (299) of the past top 400 fantasy seasons since 2004. Even further, 183 of those seasons (46 percent) come from those who sport a BMI of 30-31.9 (check out more at RotoAcademy).

Prospect: Ka’Deem Carey (CBS Rank: 3)

Arbitrage Play: James White (13)

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By Rich Hribar | @lordreebs | Archive

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