Andre Williams, Adrian Peterson, and the Three Draftable Profiles

  It’s always interesting to try to develop an explanatory framework for the different positions. In evaluating wide receivers, I use the core components found in the WR Holy Grail and then use metrics like Megatron Index, XSPD, Catch Radius Score, and Phenom Index to help bolster my ratings. Although I’m very high on Brandin Cooks and Paul Richardson in comparison to most small receivers, I’m almost always targeting big receivers with the potential to be true No. 1s. As the Fantasy Douche frequently says, “You’re never going to draft a No. 1 receiver if you don’t try to draft one.” That goes for fantasy and reality. When it comes to drafting the next Wes Welker . . . you might as well not even try. All of the data points to “possession receiver” as a thoroughly unpredictable position. The running back position is different because one size doesn’t fit all. Fortunately, there are reasons to believe we can predict the types of prospects that will fit the different roles. I outlined the broad categories a season ago, and this is a mildly updated version. I’ll go into the Agility Score in much greater detail in my upcoming piece on Bishop Sankey, but for right now keep in mind that it’s simply the combination of times for the short shuttle and 3-cone drills. Agility Score doesn’t correlate directly with fantasy points, but it does with Vision Yards and receptions, two characteristics which will be very valuable for two of our profiles.

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By Shawn Siegele | @ff_contrarian | Archive