Geno Smith and Receiver Valuation

Photo by Greg Cooper

Photo by Greg Cooper

As offseason dynasty hot stove season heats up, I’ve been thinking about the QB position on a number of my teams. I took over a few dynasty rebuilds in the past two years, and have a fair bit of exposure to Geno Smith. So it was with great interest that I read this piece by Chase Stuart. From Football Perspective:
For Smith, the most similar comps are a Hall of Famer [Terry Bradshaw]….The positive takeaway for Smith fans is that having a bad TD/INT ratio as a rookie is far from a death knell: Eli ManningTroy Aikman, and Bradshaw all also ranked in the bottom three of the league in that metric as rookies…. For Tampa Bay fans, the most similar quarterback to Glennon is…. Bruce Gradkowski?
As always, read the whole piece at Mr Stuart’s blog- he creates some interesting historical comparisons for 2013’s rookie QBs, using a “similarity score” approach that will resonate with RotoViz readers. One of the points Mr Stuart made was that Geno Smith had a dearth of receiving talent relative to many other rookie QBs. Of course, Geno Smith wasn’t the only rookie QB last year – EJ Manuel started 10 games, and Mike Glennon 13. How did their surrounding casts compare? That got me thinking about a simple way to look at a QBs surrounding receiving talent. Football buffs always say that a QBs surrounding talent affects their performance, but we seldom make an attempt to measure the surrounding talent.

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By James Todd | @spidr2ybanana | Archive

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