2014 NFL Draft: Allen Robinson, Davante Adams, and the RotoViz Reach
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Recently I posited that the NFL Draft is easily beatable. The key is to figure out how to do that in the most effective way possible. The 2014 Draft is very deep at wide receiver, but I’m not sure there’s an undervalued player you have to have on every team. Psychological overconfidence is one of the big reasons the draft is beatable in the first place. If we fall into the same trap, then most of the potential value dissipates. The key to winning in fantasy football is a combination of humility and aggressiveness. It’s precisely because analysts don’t believe in the ability to “find the exceptions” that they relentlessly target the “rule” players. But just like every “exception” isn’t going to bust, not every “rule” is going to pan out. I think a pretty easy way to beat the 2014 Draft is to approach the players as stocks and try to create a portfolio across your various leagues where the “rule” players are heavily represented.