Final Regular Season WR Efficiency Numbers
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Image via BMWard_2000/Flickr As a refresher: Expected Points: The average number of fantasy points that would have been produced by a play from the same line of scrimmage. For instance, a pass from the opponent’s 1 yard line will produce about 2.5 fantasy points on average (with the average calculated over a 12 year period). Fantasy Points Over Par: The difference between the average value of a play, and what actually happened. In the example above, if a QB completes the pass from the 1 for a touchdown, it results in positive FPOP, whereas an incomplete pass or a pass play that comes up short of the goal line will both count as negative FPOP. Some thoughts after 17 weeks: