torreysmith

In this weekly DraftDay value report, we’ll take a look at values by comparing a player’s FantasyPros Expert Consensus Ranking (ECR) to their salary rank. For instance, if Tom Brady is the 3rd overall quarterback according to ECR, but he’s ranked 10th in salary, there’s potentially a value there. I’ll dig deeper, looking at the matchup and the players historical performance through the lense of our GLSP projections and recommend a value/pass grade. In the end, it’s up to you to pick which players to play. Is Aaron Rodgers technically a value if he’s 2nd in ECR but 5th in salary? Yes, but Matthew Stafford might be 5th in ECR and ranked 14th in salary and is the better play.

As always, don’t forget to diversify your lineups, and remember to always play within your means. Be sure to check out our DraftDay Lineup Dominator app to see how these players fit into your weekly strategy. You can sign up for DraftDay here.

Name ECR Salary Rank Difference Salary POS Comments Value
Andre Brown 6 9 -3 $14,000 RB Since coming off short-term IR, Brown has been a true workhorse averaging 23.5 touches per game. The Chargers are giving up 4.9 yards per carry to opposing running backs, only slightly less awful than the 5 yards per carry the Bears are conceding. Brown’s floor is an RB2 today according to GLSP, and while I like him more on StarStreet, this is a good price for him. Value
Maurice Jones-Drew 15 20 -5 $10,450 RB MJD has somehow morphed into a legit RB2 over the last month, despite a terrible start to the fantasy season. MJD has posted good games against better rushing defenses than Houston this year, and I like the odds of him scoring this week. Value
Ray Rice 16 22 -6 $9,500 RB Rice has had 2 good games this season: against the Dolphins and against the Bears. The Vikings rank between the two of those in terms of giving up yards per carry. I think you have to get Rice into your lineups this week because the odds are stacked in favor of a top 12 week. GLSP backs this up, giving Rice a high 15.4 median projection this Sunday. Value
C.J. Spiller 19 30.5 -11.5 $8,200 RB C.J. Spiller is a high variance play, and I tend to avoid those unless I’m making a tournament lineup. Spiller left several times during last week’s game because of the ankle, and he’s still not 100%. The risk is still there for a 12 carry/36 yard performance, and until further notice I’d avoid him in head to heads and 50/50s. Pass
Bobby Rainey 28 40 -12 $7,500 RB Rainey’s last 2 weeks have been underwhelming; not exactly surprising given that he’s played 2 top 10 run defenses in Detroit and Carolina. The Bucs face the Bills, who are giving up 4.2 yards per carry and 121.5 rushing yards per game, ranked 20th in the league. Value
Andre Johnson 9 14 -5 $13,150 WR Johnson’s ceiling is certainly higher than the 14th wide receiver this weekend. GLSP ignores the psychological tramau humans incur when playing Johnson against the team he posted 5.6 points against a few weeks ago, and pegs his median at 16.5 PPR points. Value
Alshon Jeffery 13 20.5 -7.5 $11,500 WR #TeamTrestman is rolling, and with the return of Jay Cutler possible this week, things could get even better for the former South Carolina Gamecock. Dallas gives up an average of 2 touchdowns and 300.7 passing yards on the road, 3rd worst in the league. Value
Michael Floyd 18 25.5 -7.5 $10,450 WR My problem with Michael Floyd this week is that I have to put faith in Carson Palmer and the Cardinals offensive line against the St. Louis Rams 5th ranked pass rush, according to ProFootballFocus. The Cardinals rank -59.3 pass blocking, far and away the worst grade of any team. I would fade him this week. Pass
Torrey Smith 20 25.5 -5.5 $10,450 WR Torrey Smith: WR1, or the WR1? Seriously, I can’t imagine anyone from Minnesota successfully covering Smith this weekend. They’ve given up massive games to deep threats Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery this season. Smith is poised to follow in their path. Value
Riley Cooper 25 31 -6 $9,550 WR Cooper at this price is just gravy. 2 down weeks have pushed his price to where he’s officially a steal. Outside of Rashean Mathis, the highest rated Detroit cornerback grades out as -3.7 (ProFootballFocus). #2 wide receivers have had success against Detroit, most notably Tiquan Underwood and Alshon Jeffery. With an over/under of 54, you want to buy a part of this game. Value
Greg Olsen 6 8.5 -2.5 $10,000 TE Fair value. Push
Nick Foles 7 10 -3 $16,700 QB GLSP sees a high floor/high ceiling player, and the #7 ranking surprises me. Detroit surrenders 292 yards per game passing on the road, although they only allow a more modest 1.7 passing touchdowns. Still, this game will feature two high scoring offenses going toe to toe. Value
Josh McCown 8 13 -5 $15,200 QB McCown is very similar to Foles this week, with just a lower ceiling. I’ll be using both of them heavily this week. Value
Matt Ryan 12 23 -11 $13,100 QB Matt Ryan is a high floor/high-esque ceiling player this week. Roddy White is back to healthy (sort of), and Steven Jackson is getting the run game moving again. The Packers couldn’t stop a nosebleed. Value
Andrew Luck 14 19.5 -5.5 $14,250 QB I’m not sure why anyone insists on playing Luck at all (I’m benching him for McCown in a playoff matchup this week). Outside of 3 decent games, he’s been Mike Glennon, fantasy wise. Cincinnati only concedes 198.4 passing yards and 0.6 touchdowns per game at home. The Colts offense is in shambles, and Luck hasn’t been playing well at all. Don’t bother. Pass

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