Last week my value plays included; Ryan Tannehill (15.8 points), Ray Rice (22.3 points), DeAndre Hopkins (1.2 points), and Greg Olsen (12.7 points). It was a pretty good week for me, minus the Hopkins call. He was benched in that game for mental mistakes, so that’s something you can’t really predict. If I can be correct on 75% of my value picks every week, both you and I will be thrilled. Here we go for week 12.
QB: Scott Tolzien – $11,067
Since getting the starting job, Scott Tolzien hasn’t really been all that bad. He’s thrown for 619 yards, 1 TD, 5 INT and he’s completing 65.8% of his passes. Yes, I know the five interceptions don’t look that great, but he’s playing a terribly depleted Vikings secondary which ranks 29th against the pass and also gives up the 2nd most fantasy points to QBs. Also, keep in mind on DraftStreet it is only -1 point for an interception. In his two games as a starter under DraftStreet scoring, he has 15.1 and 11.7 points. Since Tolzien has offensive weapons like Jordy, Jones, Lacy and the emerging Jarret Boykin against an awful Minnesota team, I’ll be rolling the dice this week with Tolzien for only 11% of my budget.
RB: Chris Ogbonnaya – $6,760
I love Ogbonnaya this week for many reasons. We’ll start with reason number one. The Browns have been saying they want to get him more involved in the offense, and last week they did just that. He was second on the team in targets (12), tied for first in receptions (6), and third on the team receiving yards (30). You know what is crazy? Those are just his receiving numbers. In addition, he still led them in carries (8) and rushing yards (69). The Steelers are much better against the pass (8th) than they are the run (26th). They currently give up the 8th most fantasy points to RBs. If you’re aware of the scoring for DraftStreet, then you know you get 0.5 point per reception. Ogbonnaya will be a double threat on Sunday through the air and on the ground. That makes Ogbonnaya an even more attractive option for only $6,760.
WR: Emmanuel Sanders – $5,722
This year number two WRs have done very well against the Browns, with Joe Haden typically locking down the number one. Two weeks ago, Marlon Brown scored twice against the Browns and last week Sanu scored for the Bengals. I thought about putting Cotchery here, but since Sanders is the true number two, I like him a little more. On the season he has played 26% more snaps than Cotchery. Even though he left last week’s game due to injury, he seems to be healthy now. Also, in the last 4 weeks he has 30 targets, compared to Cotchery’s 19. Big Ben looks for him quite a bit, and with Haden on Antonio Brown, I could see Sanders getting even more looks this Sunday.
TE: Delanie Walker – $7,482
Watching last week’s Thursday night game, I was pretty impressed with Delanie Walker. He caught all 10 of his targets for 91 yards and a TD. Since Fitzpatrick has taken the reigns for the Titans, Walker has 14 catches on 18 targets (3 in the red zone), for 153 yards and 2 TDs. He’s been Fitzpatrick’s second favorite target on the team by far, after Kendall Wright. Last week Oakland gave up 136 yards and a TD to Garret Graham, and they’re also 25th in the league versus the pass. I’d like to say we can pencil in Walker for 60 yards and a score, but we all know fantasy football doesn’t work that way. Wouldn’t it be sweet if it did?