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In this weekly DraftDay value report, we’ll take a look at values by comparing a player’s FantasyPros Expert Consensus Ranking (ECR) to their salary rank. For instance, if Tom Brady is the 3rd overall quarterback according to ECR, but he’s ranked 10th in salary, there’s potentially a value there. I’ll dig deeper, looking at the matchup and the players historical performance through the lense of our GLSP projections and recommend a value/pass grade. In the end, it’s up to you to pick which players to play. Is Aaron Rodgers technically a value if he’s 2nd in ECR but 5th in salary? Yes, but Matthew Stafford might be 5th in ECR and ranked 14th in salary and is the better play.

As always, don’t forget to diversify your lineups, and remember to always play within your means. Be sure to check out our DraftDay Lineup Dominator app to see how these players fit into your weekly strategy. You can sign up for DraftDay here.

Quarterbacks

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Russell Wilson 7 14 $13,700

The Rams have not been good against quarterback this year, and Russell Wilson is a top 5 talent at his position. Wilson’s GLSP is stunningly good, with a median projection of 25.6 points in the DraftDay format, and a high projection of 35.1 points. It’s rare to get this elite talent so cheap in daily, so you have to roll with it when it happens.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Michael Vick 8 15 $13,500

The initial read on Vick’s injury seemed that it would be a multi-week process, but after Foles was injured and Matt Barkley went on to do Matt Barkley things, it was announced Vick would be starting against the Giants. Speaking of the Giants, they’re terrible; giving up the 4th most points to the quarterback position. I think Wilson is worth the extra $200, but you need to diversify your lineups.

Grade: Value

Running Backs

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Marshawn Lynch 1 4 $17,000

The Seahawks will easily control this game from the beginning, and nothing gets Darrell Bevell going quite like a stout rushing attack. The Rams have given up 100+ yards in four of seven games, the exceptions being the rushing inept Cardinals, a Falcons rushing attack led by Jacquizz Rodgers, and the Jaguars.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Frank Gore 5 9 $12,300

The Jaguars rank 2nd to last in points allowed to opposing running backs, and Frank Gore is on fire. The only concern is that the 49ers take the pedal off the gas early, since they likely won’t have to try very hard to win this game. I still like Gore this week as an RB1.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Le’Veon Bell 9 12 $10,050

My love for Le’veon pre-draft was well known, and it’s very exciting to see him look good on the field. That being said, it’s hard to get behind him at this price point. He’s still not involved in the passing game, receiving only 4 targets so far. The GLSP projection is lukewarm, and I think Alfred Morris is a good approximation of Bell this week, with savings built in.

Grade: Pass

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Alfred Morris 10 14 $9,850

My problem with Morris this week is the matchup: Denver will surely pass all over the [expletive deleted]’s terrible pass defense, which means Washington will be playing catchup. Morris’ stellar Agility Score hints at passing game prowess, but he isn’t used in that manner and has only received 4 targets all year. If they fall too far behind, will Morris be pulled for Helu? Still, I think there’s a very good chance of a touchdown in this matchup, and Morris has been hyper efficient this season.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Fred Jackson 11 20 $8,800

The Saints defense is leaps and bounds better than it was in last years disappointing 7-9 campaign, but Fred Jackson is a good candidate for production in this game. The last two games were disappointing on the ground (10 for 35 against the Bengals and 11 for 36 against the Dolphins), but his value is insulated by his involvement in the passing game. Jackson is a decent, if low upside, flex play this week.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Stevan Ridley 12 22.5 $8,150

The upside for Ridley doesn’t exist in PPR as long as Belichick insists on giving the mediocre Brandon Bolden carries and receptions. Ridley is far and away the best running back on the team, so it’s frustrating to watch Belichick try and and play offensive mastermind. That being said, the Dolphins have been gashed by opposing running backs, so Ridley makes a solid flex play this week. Just beware the downside: 5.8 points, according to GLSP.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Maurice Jones-Drew 18 30 $6,650

Every player becomes a value at some point… except Maurice Jones-Drew. Without a touchdown, you’ll be left with a poor flex play. I wouldn’t expect that to happen against San Francisco’s defense.

Grade: Pass

Wide Receivers

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Demaryius Thomas 5 8 $13,700

On a visceral level, I’m really looking forward to DT abusing trash-talking burn victim DeAngelo Hall all game. I think Washington will put up enough of a fight offensively and force Denver to keep on the gas, so Demaryius makes a great play this week as an approximation of Calvin Johnson against a defense that exists only in coordinator Jim Haslett’s imagination.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Larry Fitzgerald 13 28.5 $8,600

This week, the fantasy gods are smiling upon Larry Fitzgerald. Atlanta has given up the 3rd most points to wide receivers and the 5th most points to quarterbacks. The Falcons pass rush and coverage have combined for a negative -25 rating according to ProFootballFocus. Fitzgerald offers WR1 upside at the Brian Hartline price.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Anquan Boldin 17 27 $8,700

I have a hard time buying into Boldin, because then I’m also buying into Kaepernick, who I don’t believe in. Boldin has settled down right where we thought he would: an inconsistent WR3/flex play. When the matchup is good, you play him. Boldin’s two highest scoring games of the year came against the bottom 10 pass defenses in Green Bay and St. Louis. He gets another one this week in London.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Steve Smith 18 24.5 $9,100

The matchup for Smith is decent, but Cam Newton’s perceived inconsistency and the Thursday Night factor are enough to get me to avoid him in daily.

Grade: Pass

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Marques Colston 19 32 $8,350

The Saints are potentially losing almost 10 targets a game if Jimmy Graham sits out, and Colston should benefit. After receiving at least 6 targets per game, Colston has 5 targets the last two weeks, in part to drawing the coverage of budding star Alfonzo Dennard. We’re talking about a guy who hits 1,000 yards and 7 touchdowns like clockwork every single year. The pendulum is swinging back the other way, and it starts this week against the Bills.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Rueben Randle 22 30.5 $8,550

Since week 5, Randle has 24 targets, 13 receptions, 218 yards, and 4 touchdowns. Over the course of the season, Randle has been the WR26. GLSP is still suspicious, and the floor is low for Randle. He’s a player to sprinkle lightly throughout your lineups.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Terrance Williams 27 33 $8,100

Over the last 3 weeks, Williams has 13 looks, catching 12 balls for 249 yards and 3 scores. During that same timeframe, Miles Austin has 7 targets and 1 drop. Williams is a WR2, and gets a great matchup this week against the Lions.

Grade: Value

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Julian Edelman 28 30.5 $8,550

With Danny Amendola sidelined, Edelman is a great arbitrage play. He ranks 6th in the NFL in total targets, receiving 66 over the first 7 weeks of the season, almost 10 per game. Even with Gronk back, volume gives him a floor of 10 PPR points.

Grade: Value

Tight Ends

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Jeff Cumberland 13 22 $5,550

I am about to blow your mind with some Jeff Cumberland stats. Coming out of Illinois in 2010, Cumberland was listed as a H-back/WR hybrid player. At 6’4” 249 pounds, he ran a 4.45 40 yard dash, along with an Agility Score of 11.28. Comparing him to a group of popular rookie tight ends Vance McDonald, Luke Willson, and Joseph Fauria, Cumberland stands out. There’s a possibility he’s actually good. Of course, I just wrote all that then realized the matchup is terrible. He’s someone I’d pass on this week, but it’s worth monitoring as he’s had his two highest target totals the last two weeks.

Grade: Pass

Player FantasyPros ECR Salary Rank Salary
Joseph Fauria 14 31 $5,000

What’s the only thing worse than a running back by committee? A tight end by committee. Yes, TEBC’s do exist, and Fauria is stuck in one right now. Unfortunately for Fauria, he may never gain a role as a full time tight end. I think his height is going to be a serious problem, as it will be difficult for him to get leverage against defensive lineman and linebackers that he’ll have to block. Cutting Tony Scheffler is a great sign, but I need more before I bet money on him producing.

Grade: Pass

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