Julian Edelman, Brian Hartline, and the Week 3 PPR Flex Rankings
If you’ve read Why the Flex Position Wins Championships, you know I treat it as the most important position on my roster. I would prefer to construct my team so that I’m sometimes forced to have a bad player in my RB2 or WR3 slot rather than in my Flex.
I also think it’s an area the RotoViz Game Level Similarity Projections are especially equipped to handle. As a result, I’m creating weekly Flex rankings using this unique RotoViz tool. If you’re playing a lot of weekly/daily games, these rankings can also help give you a sense of players who might be undervalued and available on the cheap. (Of course, the daily games apps are truly awesome at creating optimal lineups.)
For a fuller discussion of how the GLSP works and the flexibility it provides, please check the Week 3 Standard Rankings.
- Michael Floyd has seen 13 targets so far on the season and been very inefficient with them, scoring 5 fewer points than expected. I bumped his minimum target number to 3.0, and the GLSP liked him to put up 12.4 in a favorable matchup. Floyd was my No. 1 breakout candidate at WR, but through two weeks we’re still waiting.
- Mike Williams struggled badly last week, but he only trails Frank Gore by 0.4, which gives you a sense of the power of the receiver in PPR.
- The Lions have a plum matchup with Washington and a relative target vacuum opposite Megatron. As a result, the app likes Nate Burleson to put up better numbers than big names like Steve Smith, T.Y. Hilton, and Torrey Smith
- Week 3 isn’t as favorable for tight ends who might be No. 2 on your depth chart, but GLSP still prefers Brandon Myers and Owen Daniels over unappealing runners like BenJarvus Green-Ellis or Ryan Mathews.
- Mohamed Sanu is a surprising sleeper choice, but he’s seen 13 very quiet targets in the early going. Although he’s only scored a handful of fantasy points, he has more expected points than players like Marques Colston, Chris Givens, Greg Jennings, and Lance Moore. Drawing Green Bay’s secondary could be the perfect formula for a breakout game.
- The computer isn’t nearly as sanguine about Cecil Shorts in a game against the Seahawks, but he still might be a better play than Daryl Richardson, Jacquizz Rodgers, or Lamar Miller.
Also be sure to check out Jacob Myers with Flex Suspects: Week 3.