Sam Bradford, David Wilson and Some Thoughts After Three Preseason Games
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- Jared Cook had about 15 ppr points in a half of play this weekend. I really wish I had Cook on more teams right now.
- All of Drew Brees, Tony Romo and Sam Bradford are averaging over 11 adjusted yards/attempt in the preseason. Two of the names in that list are expected. Sam Bradford’s name isn’t. It could just be the normal preseason flukiness, or Bradford might be on the verge of a breakout. I kind of think it’s the latter. He might have some uneven results this year because of the STL schedule, but Bradford can make all of the throws and he now has receivers that can actually get open.
- The list of preseason yards/carry leaders at running back is a “Who’s Who” of players that also have high Explosion Index numbers. David Wilson, Jordan Todman, and Christine Michael have all rolled up lots of yards in the carries they’ve seen.
- Reggie Bush continues to look like a league winner in PPR formats. Also, Joique Bell could provide the exact same kind of upside if Bush gets hurt. Drafting both of them might give you close to a lock every week RB1 in PPR formats.
- If the preseason is any indication, then Shawn Siegele and Davis Mattek might look like geniuses on Vincent Brown. Here are the guys with the last name Brown that have more yards receiving than Vincent this preseason: Antonio, Marlon, Jaron, Donald, Justin, Mike and Bryce.
- Ladarius Green is averaging 20 yards per reception and has two touchdowns in the preseason. He also had another reception end on the 1 or 2 yard line, and this week he probably would have had another touchdown if not for a shoelace tackle. The guy is a monster.
- The discount you’re getting to take Andre Johnson in re-draft leagues looks almost criminal given his seeming ability to get open at will. Note also that over the last 8 games of 2012 he averaged 126 yards per game. Megatron averaged 131 yards per game over the same stretch and the players scored the same number of touchdowns.
- There’s some speculation that the Broncos may look to Knowshon Moreno after the struggles of the two young RBs they have. At this point I think you really need discounts on both Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman in order to take them.
- Chris Ivory is probably being overdrafted while Bilal Powell is being underdrafted. If that situation is anything other than a straight timeshare this year I’ll be surprised.
- Rob Housler may have a high ankle sprain so that sleeper may never wake up… or at least this year anyway.
- It looks like LaMichael James is behind Kendall Hunter, which might surprise me but is definitely actionable intel. I liked James when I thought he might have a chance to play his way into a starting job. That looks like more than a longshot now.
- There will be a good amount of celebrating from David Wilson fans after Wilson’s long run, but I still think that owning him will be frustrating this year. I think he has talent to spare, but that’s still going to be a timeshare in NY. I have Wilson in three different leagues so I’m mentally preparing myself.
- Here’s what you get when you draft Marshawn Lynch: a player that doesn’t catch very many passes, requires a top 10 pick usually, has a history of back injuries, and has a really talented player sitting behind him on the depth chart.
- Ryan Mathews’ ADP just refuses to budge from RB26. I still think he’s probably undervalued.
- I could probably make an argument that if you’re willing to take Megatron in the first round, you should be willing to take Dez in the first as well. Dez is also a high talent monster and has the added bonus of playing in an offense where defenses will have a tough time keying on him like they do on Megatron.
- Josh Gordon’s ADP is right back to WR33, which is where he was pre-suspension. Part of me wants to say that you should get a suspension discount, but the reality is that you probably are getting some kind of discount. The sim scores like Gordon as a top 20-ish WR and you only have to spend WR33 on him.