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Does Less Santonio Holmes Mean More Stephen Hill?

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Holmes tells friends he’ll miss “at least” four games | ProFootballTalk.

Not quite as old but still too broken down to contribute is Santonio Holmes.  According to Brian Costello of the New York Post, the MVP of Super Bowl XLII has told friends he’ll miss at least four games of the 2013 regular season with a foot injury suffered in September 2012…

Without Holmes, the Jets have Stephen Hill, a second-year second-rounder with similar measurables to Calvin Johnson but only a fraction of the production, Braylon EdwardsClyde GatesJeremy Kerley, and a flock of no-names.  The tight end position is headlined by Jeff Cumberland and Kellen Winslow, who won a job via a minicamp tryout after a cameo with the Pats in 2012.

With the loss of Santonio Holmes for the first few weeks of the season, Pro Football Talk suggests it’s time for other receivers to step up. One of these receivers is Stephen Hill, who as mentioned in the article, has similar measurables to Calvin Johnson. And though his production has been less than stellar, some of us at RotoViz think that Hill could flourish if given the chance. Check out these comparisons of Hill to other wide receivers out of Georgia Tech including Demariyus Thomas and Calvin Johnson by Jon Moore. Our other RotoViz writers, however, are not convinced. Matthew Freedman also has a nice article in which he runs some projections using Hill’s 2012 season and predicts that Hill will have a statistically poor 2013. In a follow up article, Freedman points to a few other red flags and suggests that Hill might not be ready to breakout this year, even with a change at quarterback. While it is still noteworthy that Hill will probably be getting more looks, redraft and dynasty owners might want to meticulously track the Jets training camp over the next few weeks to get a better sense of Hill’s involvement in the offense. Make sure to run your own projections for Stephen Hill using the RotoViz WR Similarity Score App.

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