Bryce Brown, Feeding a Troll, and What to Expect of 2nd Year Running Backs
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Predicting Second Year RB Performance I know you’re not supposed to engage internet trolls, but sometimes it’s hard not to bicker with them. I was in a mock draft with a troll last night – it was an auction, and he decided to spend half his budget on Brent Celek and Clay Harbor (the ol’ Eagles TE strategy). After totally skewing the auction values, he went on to claim that 2nd year RBs are never as good as they were during their rookie years, and anyone who picked Doug Martin or Bernard Pierce was an idiot. This seemed patently absurd to me. Just from a common sense perspective, on average, guys with more experience ought to get more playing time, and guys who get more playing time ought to have better fantasy seasons. So I told the troll what I thought, which of course led to more trolling blah-blah-blah, but in the end I realized I didn’t have any good evidence to back up my intuitions. The Player Season Finder at pro-football-reference.com makes it pretty easy to investigate that sort of thing, though, so I did, and now I’m sharing it with you.