WR Upside Ratios
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Every year there are one or two guys who can completely carry your team. You can ride them to the playoffs because a) they put up monsters points and b) you drafted them way later than their production indicates they should have gone. Last year, those players were Robert Griffin III and Doug Martin. In 2011, it was Rob Gronkowski. In 2010, it was Arian Foster and in 2009, it was Chris Johnson. I share a goal with the rest of the fantasy community: figure out a way to detect these high impact players so you can draft them on your team. Well, I think I’ve come a little closer to reaching that goal. I introduce to you, Upside Ratios. There are two main components we’ll look at to determine a player’s upside:
1) Similarity Score “Ceiling” Projection
2) Average Draft Position (ADP)Once we have these two components, we can calculate a weighted average for each player. This final weighted average will allow us rank each player by their respective upsides. If you want a detailed step-by-step breakdown of how the Upside Ratio is calculated click here, but all you really need to know is that the Upside Score is on a scale from 0-100, where 0 = a player finishing last in fantasy points selected first overall and 100 = a player finishing first in fantasy points selected last overall. Also, one last important note: the similarity score app doesn’t know that Percy Harvis is no longer a Viking or that Larry Fitzgerald goes from Kevin Kolb/John Skelton/Ryan Lindley to Carson Palmer at QB. Basically, the sim. scores are blind to situational changes so this will distort certain players’ ceiling projection. For a complete list of the WR Upside Ratios click here, otherwise these are a few notable names.