No Percy Harvin? No Problem!
Golden Tate is one Seahawk who likely will benefit if Harvin is forced to miss games. His playing time looked to be in jeopardy with Harvin on the roster. That would have been a reversal of his increasing percentage of snaps played from his first three seasons. In Tate’s rookie year, he registered 29.7 percent of Seattle’s offensive snaps. He then followed up 2011’s 50.5 percent figure with a 77.3 snap percentage tally last year. Tate has improved steadily, as evidenced by his PFF grades in the passing game, from +0.4 in 2010, to +4.9, and finally +13.1 in 2012. He’s also an underrated force in the red zone, and will have a better chance to continue his development with Harvin on the shelf. Tate is a sneaky value late in drafts, even though his ADP is sure to rise from its currently depressed level (73rd wideout, 193rd overall, according to myfantasyleague.com).
Sidney Rice is an overlooked fantasy receiver who was not getting enough respect in drafts to begin with. He certainly stands to gain from Harvin’s potential absence. Rice, who himself had hip surgery in 2010, finished last season strong with a 0.34 points per opportunity (PPO) score during the season’s second half. Coincidentally, that was one spot in front of Tate, and was good for 14th best among wideouts. If Harvin is sidelined Rice also stands to begin more plays in the slot, where he thrived last season. On the 37.2 percent of plays in which he lined up there, he finished third in catch rate among his receiving peers, and fifth in yards per route run. His injury prone reputation has weighed down his ADP, which is currently at a bargain price (53rd wideout, 139th overall).
Reports indicate that Percy Harvin will miss a majority of the season for the Seahawks. From a fantasy standpoint, all fantasy owners reading this should be upset with the loss of Percy Harvin, because it’s one less player that some noob in your league will overdraft. It’s not that I think ill of Harvin as a player, but the fact is the majority of our staff believed his ADP pre-injury was too high compared to his upside. With Harvin gone, it opens up the door for two other receivers: Sidney Rice and Golden Tate. Our writers here at RotoViz have already profiled the dynasty potential for Rice and why he was a better, cheaper option compared to Percy Harvin pre-injury.
As for Tate? Our guys at RotoViz have been raving about him as a guy with huge upside and whose ADP is comparably very low. Heck we even put together a scenario in which Harvin is injured to show how profitable it could be to have Tate on your team. And now that Harvin will actually be going under the knife, both receivers’ potentials skyrocket. So never fear RotoViz faithful; while you won’t get to laugh at some dummy overdrafting Harvin this year, you still might be able to steal Rice and Tate and very affordable prices. Make sure to check out both Rice and Tate’s projections using our RotoViz Similarity Score App.