Matt Ryan, A.J. Green, and Why Cheaper Isn’t Always Better
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Image via Football Schedule. We spend a lot of time at RotoViz trying to find players who are similar to highly priced players but come at a discount. Finding discounts is the foundation of championship roster building. It can also occasionally leave the impression that, if we had our druthers, we’d trade out of the first four or five rounds and just build an entire roster out of cheap-but-similar players. I recently broke down the advanced stats for Chris Givens versus T.Y. Hilton and came away believing the Rams receiver is the same player at a fraction of the price. Astute reader 19>18 pointed out in the comments that “cheaper isn’t always better.” That’s also true. And it’s very, very important. Any study of expected return by ADP will show the top picks worthy of a healthy premium. In fact, that’s the two-part reason you’re trying to locate similar-but-cheaper players in the first place: 1) So that you can differentiate between profiles that are truly rare and those that are easily replaceable. 2) So that when you’re on the clock with a premium pick you make very sure to select a player whose similar players are few and far between. With that in mind, here’s a quick list of players whose closest comps are cheaper but definitely not better.