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Since there’s nothing happening in the world of football today, I thought I’d play around with the amazing new RotoViz QB Efficiency By Receiver App. This app allows you to find QB-Receiver combos going back to 2000, and evaluate their efficiency based on Adjusted Yards/Attempt (AYA).

I looked for RBs with more than 20 pass targets in 2012. These are fairly small sample sizes, but the results highlight some interesting things. Here are the top 44 RBs from last year, ranked by AYA. Remember that the AYA belongs to both the QB AND the Receiver. The Receiver needs the QB to throw them the ball; the QB needs the Receiver to do something with the target.

QB

Player

Att

Rec

Yards

TD

INTs

AYA

Tom Brady

Danny Woodhead

55

40

446

4

0

9.56

Ryan Fitzpatrick

C.J. Spiller

57

43

459

2

0

8.75

Eli Manning

Ahmad Bradshaw

31

23

245

0

0

7.9

Drew Brees

Darren Sproles

104

75

667

7

0

7.76

Cam Newton

Jonathan Stewart

23

17

157

1

0

7.7

Ryan Tannehill

Daniel Thomas

21

14

153

0

0

7.29

Matt Ryan

Jacquizz Rodgers

58

53

402

1

0

7.28

Nick Foles

LeSean McCoy

21

18

152

0

0

7.24

Tony Romo

Felix Jones

36

25

262

2

1

7.14

Drew Brees

Pierre Thomas

53

39

354

1

0

7.06

Josh Freeman

Doug Martin

70

49

472

1

0

7.03

Matthew Stafford

Joique Bell

65

49

454

0

0

6.98

Carson Palmer

Marcel Reece

65

48

478

1

1

6.97

Cam Newton

Mike Tolbert

39

27

269

0

0

6.9

Peyton Manning

Willis McGahee

33

26

221

0

0

6.7

Ryan Tannehill

Reggie Bush

52

35

292

2

0

6.38

Matt Ryan

Jason Snelling

35

31

203

1

0

6.37

Andrew Luck

Vick Ballard

27

17

152

1

0

6.37

Brandon Weeden

Chris Ogbonnaya

29

21

184

0

0

6.34

Philip Rivers

Ronnie Brown

59

49

371

0

0

6.29

Ryan Tannehill

Charles Clay

33

18

212

2

1

6.27

Sam Bradford

Steven Jackson

52

38

321

0

0

6.17

Michael Vick

LeSean McCoy

46

36

221

3

0

6.11

Jay Cutler

Matt Forte

49

37

320

1

1

6.02

Russell Wilson

Robert Turbin

23

19

181

0

1

5.91

Alex Smith

Frank Gore

22

18

128

0

0

5.82

Christian Ponder

Toby Gerhart

27

20

155

0

0

5.74

Russell Wilson

Marshawn Lynch

30

23

196

1

1

5.7

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Fred Jackson

42

34

217

1

0

5.64

Brandon Weeden

Trent Richardson

67

48

352

1

0

5.55

Joe Flacco

Ray Rice

83

61

478

1

1

5.46

Jake Locker

Chris Johnson

29

21

150

0

0

5.17

Matt Ryan

Michael Turner

30

19

128

1

0

4.93

Tony Romo

DeMarco Murray

42

35

251

0

1

4.9

Peyton Manning

Knowshon Moreno

26

21

167

0

1

4.69

Carson Palmer

Darren McFadden

56

37

241

1

0

4.66

Sam Bradford

Daryl Richardson

36

24

163

0

0

4.53

Philip Rivers

Ryan Mathews

56

39

252

0

0

4.5

Aaron Rodgers

Alex Green

30

19

133

0

0

4.43

Matthew Stafford

Mikel Leshoure

47

33

207

0

0

4.4

Mark Sanchez

Shonn Greene

27

17

108

0

0

4

Christian Ponder

Adrian Peterson

51

40

217

1

1

3.76

Andy Dalton

BenJarvus Green-Ellis

30

22

104

0

1

1.97

Mark Sanchez

Bilal Powell

32

13

103

0

1

1.81

Quick Thoughts:

  • Brady is of course partly responsible for his strong numbers, but Philip Rivers should like Danny Woodhead just fine. His 9.56 AYA paced all RBs last year. Ryan Mathews posted only a 4.5 AYA, perhaps explaining some of the mass exodus from his hype train. Mathews’ posting can’t all be Rivers’ fault, as he and octogenarian Ronnie Brown posted a solid 6.29 AYA.
  • C.J. Spiller, you are ridiculous. He posted an 8.75 AYA with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB.
  • Ahmad Bradshaw posted a 7.9 AYA with Eli Manning; can he help Andrew Luck and the Colts be more efficient?
  • Darren Sproles should have WR eligibility: 104 targets!
  • Nick Foles may lack rapport with DeSean Jackson, but he seems to have it with LeSean McCoy. McCoy got a full yard more per attempt with Foles than with Vick.
  • The Lions’ Joique Bell rounds out the top 12. I expect he’ll be the secondary RB in Detroit this year, ahead of Mikel LeShoure. Bell-Stafford were much more effective than LeShoure-Stafford (4.4 AYA).
  • Steven Jackson posted a respectable 6.17 AYA with Sam Bradford at QB, on 52 attempts. Now he gets to play with Mattt Ryan and the Falcons, who attempted 134 passes to RBs last year and gets 3 RBs in the top 44 passing AYA last year (if you include Michael Turner’s 19 targets.) That could work out well.
  • It’s easy to overlook him in the middle of the list, but Matt Forte’s solid 6.02 AYA makes him a good Dynasty Building Block, and Cutler a candidate for a strong season.
  • Once again, we find Mark Sanchez at the bottom of the pile.

Hopefully this encourages you to dig deeper into the efficiency of various QB – Receiver combos. Enjoy the new app.

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