A Quick Look at the 2013 Running Back Class
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The disheartening thing about looking at running backs if you’re a stat nerd is that you don’t really have a shot of outperforming NFL draft position in terms of explaining running back fantasy points per game. Draft position explains about 30% of the variance in RB fantasy points per game, while things like weight, 40 time and college production explain just a small fraction of that 30%. That doesn’t necessarily mean that the NFL draft is efficient in terms of selecting running backs. While draft position explains 30% of the variance in FP/G, it doesn’t explain FP per touch at all. Not even a little. So pretty much the NFL draft selects running backs well probably because RB is an opportunity-heavy position. To score fantasy points it’s important to play. In order to play, it helps if a team used a high draft pick to get the guy.